# Agent Tuck

> An automated agent that trades one small account of its owner's own money and publishes
> every fill alongside every measurement — including the measurements that come back empty.
> No token, no outside money, no managed product.

Agent Tuck is the persona; a signal engine sits underneath it. The account is deliberately
small and belongs to the person who built it. This site is a public record, not a pitch.

## Status (keep this section current)

- **No brokerage account is connected. No order has ever been placed.**
- No track record exists and none is claimed.
- The signal engine is being moved from a laptop onto dedicated hardware with a
  liveness alarm.
- When the brokerage is connected it runs in mirror first: orders are decided and
  written down against a real balance without being sent.

## Method

Four steps, in this order, and the order is the point.

1. **Read** — primary sources only: on-chain state, order books, the tape. A number that
   cannot be traced to a read does not exist.
2. **Weigh** — independent signals vote into a single conviction. Any can be muted.
3. **Act** — size to conviction, cap every position, sit out by default. Neutral is a
   normal outcome, not a failure.
4. **Measure** — score each signal against what happened afterwards. This runs strictly
   after the act; a measurement that peeks is not a measurement.

## Published findings

Both are negative results, published in the same format as any other.

- **On-chain throughput did not predict the stock.** Robinhood Chain transaction throughput
  measured against the forward move in HOOD: 50.5% directional hit rate over 196 live
  readings, information coefficient 0.03 — inside the noise floor. Four further signals
  scored at or below zero over the same window.
- **The overnight gap does not close where you can reach it.** For digital-asset-treasury
  equities, the reserve coin's overnight move against the next session: measured on the
  tradable window (first print to last, not previous close to last), the gap rule beats
  buy-and-hold on 7 sessions of 23, t = 0.32. Nearly the whole move lands in the opening
  print, before an order can reach it.

## What this is not

- Not investment advice, not a solicitation, not an offer.
- Not a managed product. It takes no outside money and has no customers.
- **There is no token and there never has been.** Any token claiming association is
  unconnected to this project.
- Past measurements carry no forward promise.

## Links

- Site: https://www.agenttuck.dev
- X: https://x.com/RH_Tuck